The American president made quite an extraordinary claim recently: that the Islamofascist zealot of indeterminate religion and ideology who recently murdered 4 Jews in Paris did so randomly, without targeting them because of their religious affiliation.
After the initial reaction of incredulity subsided, I decided to subject Mr. Obama’s assertion to pitiless, objective mathematical analysis. What exactly are the odds that 4 Jews could be randomly murdered in Paris by a single killer (as Mr. Obama would have us believe)?
The probability that a random murder in Paris will involve ONE Jew as the victim shall be defined as P1, and is determined by the following equation:
P1 = NJ / NT
Where NJ = Number of Jews living in metropolitan Paris
NT = Total number of people living in metropolitan Paris
Given Mr. Obama’s claim that the murders were unrelated, independent events, the probability that 4 Jews were randomly murdered in succession by a single individual is given by the variable Pt:
Pt = P1 * P1 * P1 * P1 = (P1)4
Now, according to the latest statistics, there are 283,000 Jews currently living in metropolitan Paris, out of a total population of 12,292,895. This allows us to solve for Pt:
Pt = (283,000 / 12,292,895)4
Pt = 0.0000002808853275
Pt = 0.000000281 (reduced to 3 significant figures)
The result can be multiplied by 100 to arrive at a percentage:
Pt (%) = 0.0000281%
Thus, there is a 0.0000281% chance that the 4 Jews were randomly killed (and therefore, that the American president is telling the truth).
Or, in starker terms, the likelihood that Mr. Obama is lying through his teeth is 99.9999719%.
The science is settled.
Saying the Paris terrorists randomly picked a Kosher deli is like saying the KKK randomly picked black people to lynch.— David Burge (@iowahawkblog) February 10, 2015
UPDATE: Much hilarity ensues as clueless (and thoroughly incompetent) State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki is unaware that:
- Jews (and not Buddhists!) preferentially patronize kosher supermarkets
- All 4 victims of Muslim terrorist Amedy Coulibaly were Jewish (and subsequently buried in Israel)
- Amedy Coulibaly himself publicly declared, “I have 16 hostages and I have killed four, and I targeted them because they were Jewish.”
.@statedeptspox have you had a chance to discover if the "French authorities" believe the Hyper Casher murders were anti-semitic yet?
— TheClassyLife (@AceofSpadesHQ) February 11, 2015
UPDATE #2: Of course, there is also the possibility that President Obama is not an anti-Semitic liar, and he simply spoke without thinking.
Certainly, if he were willing to admit that the Muslim terrorist who murdered the 4 Jewish shoppers targeted them because of their religion (and not randomly), then the mathematical proof that Mr. Obama is an anti-Semitic liar would be rendered invalid.
UPDATE (Feb 11 / 2015): Hmmm
What if a white racist with a submachine gun broke into a convenience store in South Central Los Angeles, grabbed seven or eight African Americans who were shopping (maybe there was one Korean) as hostages for the release of some other white racists and then, when attacked, started spewing the N-word while shooting up the place, killing three or four of the African Americans and wounding three or four others, one or two critically.
How would President Obama react?
I suspect he wouldn't say the victims were just "a bunch of folks" who were "randomly" targeted and killed.
UPDATE #4: More insults to our intelligence from Barack Obama's spokesman, Josh Earnest
"The individuals who were killed in that terrible, tragic incident, were killed not because of who they were, but because of where they randomly happened to be!"
America's best and brightest.
An interesting point in that last link: If the attacks in Paris were so random, why are French soldiers standing guard at synagogues and Jewish schools, instead of at random street corners?
Perhaps they just don't understand the nature of the problem as well as King Putt.