When It Absolutely, Positively, DOESN’T Have To Be There…

Google went Galt in China earlier this year, and perhaps it's high time that Japan followed its example.  Because both the Daily Yomiuri and Asahi Shimbun are reporting that Beijing is erecting politically-motivated customs trade barriers to cripple Japanese industry.  From the Daily Yomiuri:

Shanghai customs authorities informed major Japanese transport firms last Tuesday of a decision to immediately boost the ratio of imports and exports subject to sample inspections at the city's customs house from the previous 30 percent to 100 percent.

Shanghai's quarantine authorities have also raised the ratio of quarantine inspections of commodities from the previous 10 percent to 50 percent, they said.

Because of the subsequent delay in the clearance and quarantine procedures, many air cargoes bound for Japan, including electronics parts, remain in Shanghai, according to the sources.

Similar measures have been taken at many other customs houses, including those in Fujian, Guandong and Liaoning Provinces…

Meanwhile, Communist China is denying that it had ANYTHING to do with the decision of Chinese rare earth exporters to cease shipments of their products to Japan.  Just as they denyed that the equipment they moved into the East China Sea had ANYTHING to do with oceanic gas field drilling.

[Surprise, surprise – the latest word is that the water near the Chinese offshore facility is dirty and turbid.  Which is just the sort of thing that one expects when AN UNDERWATER DRILL BIT MEETS SOLID ROCK.]

Pack Hunters

"You are an excellent tactician Captain. You let your second in command attack, while you sit and watch for weakness."

-Khan Noonien Singh, ST:TOS

Perhaps that's the only explanation I have for China's relatively mild reaction to the recent incident off the coast of Japan's Senkaku Islands.  I mean, think about it:  Japan arrests a P.R.C. fishing boat captain for violating Japanese waters, and what does Beijing do?

It blusters, dresses down the Japanese ambassador a few times, cancels a few underwater resource meetings, and sends a SINGLE fishery escort vessel.  (For good measure, it also leaves open the possibility that it "may not be able" to control anti-Japanese mob action.)

A relatively measured response, given that it's Communist China we're talking about.

Shortly thereafter though, Taiwan does a curious thing.  Remember, absolutely none of its mariners are cooling their heels in Japanese detention.  Yet despite this, President Ma Ying-jeou reacts far more militantly than the P.R.C., making the "independent" decision to dispatch not one, but twelve — 12! — coast guard ships to the Japanese islands.

Like the man said, the second-in-command plays the heavy.

While the boss sits back, watching for weakness.

Khan Noonien Singh (played by Ricardo Montalban). From Star Trek: The Original Series.

(Khan image from Zaphodsheads.spaces.live.com)


UPDATE:  The Chinese might be breaking their pledge not to drill in a disputed undersea gas field.  This, we don't know for sure, yet.


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Madman Ma Orders 12 Armed Taiwanese Ships To Violate Japanese Waters

Story at the Taipei Times.  The press in Taiwan is still mum though, on how much the irredentist president's gunboat diplomacy has cost the nation — not only in precious taxpayer NT dollars, but in squandered international credibility as well.

One need not speculate what world reaction would have been had Ma instead dispatched 12 Taiwanese coast guard vessels into CHINESE waters.  So that a "civilian" fishing boat could attempt to raise the Republic of China flag on P.R.C. soil.  Because the answer is clear:  the world would have regarded it as an outrageously dangerous provocation.

A very REAL provocation, quite unlike any of the phony "provocations" the previous Chen administration was accused of.


UPDATE:  Citing irrelevant history, Beijing's mouthpiece newspaper in Taiwan urges Japan to quietly give in to the divinely-ordained territorial encroachments of the KMT-Chinese Communist Party alliance. 

Saw THAT comin'…

UPDATE #2:  Japan's ambassador to China has reportedly informed the Chinese government that Beijing should "take the necessary measures to avoid a worsening of the situation."

Good for him.  I'm rooting for scrappy little Japan the way I used to for Taiwan.  (Before the KMT  surrendered body-and-soul to the Chinese Communist Empire, that is.)

Taiwan's former KMT chairman Lien Chan shakes hands with Chinese Communist dictator, Hu Jintao

(Hu Jintao & his "very special" KMT friend.  Image from Life Magazine.)

UPDATE #3:  Coming soon:  A Tiananmen Square near you.  Courtesy of Supreme Leader Ma Ying-jeou and the KMT Party.  Uppity Taiwanese, beware.

Taiwanese who protested against Chen Yunlin (Communist China's negotiator) beaten by KMT-controlled Taiwanese police

(Taiwanese victim of the Chinese Nationalist Party police-riot of 2008.  Image from the Taipei Times)

UPDATE #4:  Perhaps I was too hasty in dismissing the relevance of the history the China Post presented.  Because the Beijing - Taipei axis certainly seems busy manufacturing "incidents" and pretexts for war in 2010 the very same way Imperial Japan did in the 1930s…


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Give Chinese Ultranationalists An Inch, And They’ll Take An Isle

Japan prevents Taiwanese fishing boat under R.O.C. coast guard protection from laying claim to Japan's Senkaku Islands.

There's Taiwan's revanchist president, Ma Ying-jeou, still trying to stir the pot.  Not for him, the blessings of peace.  Or a once-a-year attempt to join the U.N. 

Instead, a once-a-year provocation of Japan (almost like clockwork) over a few specks in the ocean is more his style.

Funny though, how we never hear of Taiwanese fishing boats trying to lay claim to islands owned by the P.R.C.  No, just Japan.  That, despite the Chinese Nationalist Party's insistence that ALL of China belongs to the R.O.C…

Why is that, I wonder?

More Senkaku Fallout

1)  China finds the excuse it needed to avoid signing a gas field treaty with Japan.

2)  What's your's is mine:  Beijing orders a Japanese coast guard ship to stop surveying — in Japan's own Exclusive Economic Zone.

3)  War & rumors of war:  Chinese dispatch quasi-military ship to the Senkaku islands.  At the same time a Hong Kong group will charter a Taiwanese fishing vessel to also make a trip to the Japanese-owned islands.  Convenient timing.

[That last story also mentions that Captain Ramboat's grandmother passed away in China during his incarceration for violating Japanese waters.  Which is sure to calm the passions of Chinese jingoists.]

4)  Taiwanese KMT legislator fans the flames: "“Without government support on both sides of the Strait, efforts by civilian associations of [Taiwan, China and Hong Kong] alone will not be enough and will be to no avail [for Taiwan to help seize the Senkaku Islands from Japan]."

Er, just what are the odds that that "civilian association" [Hong Kong's "Action Committee for Defending the Diaoyu Islands"] is actually a Chinese Communist Party front group?  Leading everybody down the garden path to war?

Chinese Ultranationalists Continue To Destabilize Region

Not content with Captain Ramboat's recent attempt to occupy Japanese territory, revanchists from Hong Kong plan a second expedition to the Senkaku Islands.  And in collusion with at least some elements of Taiwan's Chinese Nationalist government:

Taipei County Councilor King Chieh-shou (金介壽) said planning for the protest will be discussed this morning in Jhonghe City [emphasis added] at a forum on the territorial rights of the Diaoyutai Islands. Details regarding boat rental and activities of protest will be fleshed out at the meeting.


UPDATE:  Fascinating how newspaper accounts continue to maintain the fiction that Captain Ramboat "collided" with two Japanese vessels, after informing us that bow met stern.

(Oh no officer, I didn't assault that man.  His face just collided with my fist!)

Chinese Militarist Troublemakers Provoke Japan

Apparently, Taiwan's Chinese ultranationalist "Supreme Leader" isn't the only one who believes that Japan's Senkaku islands belong to China:

A tense maritime incident Tuesday in which two Japanese patrol vessels and a Chinese fishing boat collided near a disputed island chain triggered a diplomatic spat between the Asian giants.

[…]

The Chinese boat's bow then hit the Yonakuni's stern and also collided with another Japanese patrol boat, the Mizuki, some 40 minutes later, Kyodo reported citing the coast guard.

All the more reason for America to participate in joint exercises with ally Japan to exert sovereignty over the islands.  Because contrary to the assertions made by Taiwan's China Post, Peking's Pekinese Ma Ying-jeou in Taipei simply cannot be counted on if Beijing makes a land-grab.

Breaking News

TAIPEI — Legislators belonging to Taiwan’s Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) were incensed yesterday when they learned that the Mongolian government is proceeding with oil exploration plans without consent from the Republic of China.

“We can’t let the Mongolians get away with this,” one unnamed lawmaker was quoted as saying.  “Mongolia, as defined by our constitution, is part of the R.O.C.’s sovereign territory.  Any oil found there, and all the revenues thereof, rightfully belongs to us.”

“We demand that Presi… — er, make that MISTER — Ma immediately recalls our ambassador from Ulan Bator to let them know we mean business.  Mongolia needs to be reminded that its territory is historically, geographically and legally a part of the R.O.C.”

“Right now, I don’t think any of us are ruling out war as a last resort, by Guang Gong‘s beard!” the veteran legislator added.

To the dismay of his party colleagues, Taiwanese president Ma Ying-jeou has so far remained curiously silent about the crisis.  However, sources close to the former Tiaoyutai warrior have informed the public that Ma has given the go-ahead for a fleet of American-built F-16s to escort a single passenger airliner into Mongolian airspace on Wednesday. 

While there, the Taiwanese commuter craft is expected to carry a number of “One China” activists, who will express their displeasure at Mongolian splittism with the traditional shouting of slogans and throwing of water bottles.


Note to the reader:  While it kind of kills the point of satire to actually SAY it’s satire, I don’t want some poor unsuspecting websurfer to get the false impression that any of this really happened.  So yes, it’s satire.  None of it happened.  Or at least, it didn’t happen EXACTLY like this . . .

Nonetheless, it serves to illustrate the larger point that it’d be a whole lot easier to sympathize with the Republic of China’s claims over the Senkaku Islands if they weren’t just another item on Taiwan’s absurd laundry list of territorial pretensions.

Madman Ma and Taiwan’s Department of International Gunboat Diplomacy

Having a spot of computer problems, but've been watching with interest the fallout from last week's sinking of a Taiwanese fishing boat by the Japanese coast guard near the Senkaku Islands.  Japan's Kyodo News reports on the racheting-up of tensions:

. . . Meanwhile, the [Taiwanese-owned Kidd-class] warship carrying KMT lawmakers and press is reportedly scheduled to depart for the islets Wednesday.
     ''This would be for survey maneuvers, so we can definitely send a vessel,'' Defense Minister Chen Chao-min told reporters.
     Further endangering bilateral ties, a fleet of Taiwanese ships steamed full tilt Monday toward the islets to protest the incident.
     Accompanied by nine patrol vessels, a Taiwanese fishing boat entered what Tokyo said were its territorial waters in a bid to land on one of the islets.
     Local TV news footage showed a U.S.-made Taiwanese Cobra attack helicopter escorting the fleet.
     Japan Coast Guard vessels reportedly blocked the protest boat from the island landing, eventually driving it back by spraying it with water cannons.
     Taiwanese Premier Liu Chao-shiuan told lawmakers last week that he would not rule out war with Japan over the islets, while the island's Foreign Ministry dissolved the special committee for managing ties with Japan.  [emphasis added throughout]

The Kyodo News also tells of the plight of Taiwan's ambassador to Japan:   

     Taiwan's top representative to Japan urged the island's Foreign Ministry on Monday to let him resign over a worsening diplomatic row between Taipei and Tokyo over a ship collision in disputed waters.
     ''I had pleaded to the Foreign Ministry to replace me before July,'' said Koh Se-kai, Taiwan's de facto ambassador to Japan in the absence of official ties. ''They won't let me step down.''

[…]

     Hardliners on Japan in Taipei, including ruling Nationalist Party lawmakers, have slammed Koh for ''being too soft'' in his handling of the incident.
     Koh has broken ranks with the Foreign Ministry to defend Japan's response to the incident, saying Tokyo's expression of regret should satisfy Foreign Minister Francisco Ou's demand for a formal apology.
     Ou has rejected expressions of regret by Tokyo . . .

Pity poor Koh, the diplomat who still labors under the false notion that it's his job to be, well, diplomatic.

WRONG.  It's his job to be the goat.  Oh, he can leave – but only AFTER the KMT conducts their two minute hate session of him.

Er, but I did notice this one howler in the Kyodo News story, however:

     Taiwan's response to the incident also appears to have split the leadership among those seeking to ratchet down tensions with Tokyo, mostly DPP lawmakers and other DPP-linked political players, and KMT and ministerial-level officials, who have adopted a hard line toward Japan.  [emphasis added]

Taiwan's independence-minded DPP was decimated in the parliamentary and presidential elections earlier this year, reducing them to an impotent opposition party.  To call them part of Taiwan's leadership would be a bit of a stretch.  Aside from that though, it's a good piece.

Speaking of good pieces, the Taiwan News published a bang-up editorial on the crisis yesterday, which the View from Taiwan comments on.  Not much for me to add to either of these, other than to ask what the Ma administration's reaction would have been if a Taiwanese vessel had been sunk in disputed waters by the CHINESE coast guard.  Would American warships loaded with truculent KMT legislators be dispatched to the scene?  Or flotillas of civilian protest ships accompanied by American attack helicopters?  And finally, would the Taiwanese government under President Ma Ying-jeou be placing the option of WAR upon the table?


POSTSCRIPT:  A short background to the Senkaku Island dispute from Wikipedia, while a more in-depth background can be found at GlobalSecurity.Org.   John J. Tkacik from the Heritage Foundation wrote a piece about the general subject back in 2005 which is still worth a look.  (Especially since Beijing offered some ominous moral support to Taiwan last week by denouncing Japan for its treatment of Taiwan, China.)

Recommended reading would also include this document, as well.  It concludes on this note:

International law presents many unanswered questions about the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands dispute. Can claims of sovereignty based in fourteenth century Asia be judged by norms developed in Europe centuries later? What is the nature of discovery and occupation for uninhabited islands? What is the critical date when the dispute crystallized? Were the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands part of Taiwan or of Okinawa before 1895? How does one interpret ambiguous treaties?   [Because the disposition of the Senkakus was not explicitly mentioned in post-war treaties governing Japan — The Foreigner]  Finally, how will the disputed islands affect maritime jurisdiction. Even if ownership of the islets is settled, can that sovereign claim an EEZ or continental shelf from islands that have never been inhabited and seem to have no economic life. The 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea would appear to say no, but several countries claim extended jurisdiction from such features.  [emphasis added throughout]

Gotta love that second sentence.  Can claims of sovereignty based in fourteenth century Asia be judged by norms developed in Europe centuries later?  It's as though the author anticipated twelve years in advance Joe Hung's argument for why the Senkakus belong to Taiwan:

Taiwan's claim of sovereignty [over the Senkakus] is on a much more solid ground [than the Japanese claim]. The Ryukyus [which include the island of Okinawa — The Foreigner] was a kingdom, which became a vassal state of China's in 1372. The Emperor Hong-wu of the Ming dynasty proclaimed China's suzerainty over the tiny but prosperous kingdom by sending an imperial commissioner to perform the first investiture of the king.

Funny, but al-Qaeda says pretty much the same thing when it claims Spain in the name of the Master Faith.  Al-Andalus IS, WAS, and always WILL be part of the Islamic Caliphate . . . 

(Say now, you don't suppose Koreans or Vietnamese get a mite twitchy hearing all this talk justifying Sinofascist land grabs on the basis of a country's former vassal status to China?)


UPDATE:  Tuesday's Taipei Times has more details on the Taiwanese protest flotilla that was sent to the Senkakus on Monday, as well on the Taiwanese ambassador's attempt to resign:

Representative to Japan Koh Se-kai submitted his resignation yesterday after he was accused by Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) lawmakers of being a “traitor” for “siding with the Japanese.”

[…]

Meanwhile, KMT caucus whip Lin Yi-shih (林益世) lashed out at Koh for not announcing his resignation at the legislature, saying that he treated his resignation as “child’s play.”

Usually ambassadors quit by placing a letter on someone's desk and are allowed to slink quietly out the back door, but not Koh.  Koh must be the first Taiwanese representative in history that is expected to resign in front of a jeering mob.

More civility from Taiwan's party of decency:

Lin Yih-shih, Kuomintang whip, demanded Ou not to accept Koh's resignation and make sure that the envoy appear before the legislature for interpellation.

[…]

Another Kuomintang lawmaker, Lu Chia-chen, charged Koh was a "straggler." "Premier Liu Chao-schiuan should take disciplinary action at once and have Koh referred for prosecution," he urged.

Treason, straggling, failing to appear before a council of KMT grand inquisitors… capital crimes all.  Memo to the next ambassador to Japan:  Tear a page from Nikita Khruschev's playbook and learn how to bang your shoe on the table.  Your bosses will eat it up.

Penny Wise and Pound Foolish

Terrific set of editorials in Taiwan’s China Post on Monday – from a blogger’s point of view, anyways.  Both deal with issues of Taiwanese sovereignty.  The first, "Did Taiwan give up sovereignty over the Tiaoyutai Islands?" makes the case those islands belong to Taiwan rather than Japan, then takes the government to task for not pressing Taiwan’s claim assertively enough:

Taiwan’s Coast Guard Administration appears reluctant to confront Japanese patrols over the Tiaoyutai [known to the Japanese as the Senkaku Islands – The Foreigner], where Yilan* fishermen now often get caught for "intrusion" into Japanese "territorial waters."  Activists have been forbidden to make any protest trips there…

You want an international incident…over THIS???

Japan's Senkaku Islands

(Image from twhistory.org)

The second editorial, "What’s in a name?" ridicules President Chen Shui-bian’s efforts to have the country named "Taiwan" rather than "Taiwan, China":

[President Chen] is obsessed with the idea of getting Taiwan to accede to the United Nations under its rightful name. His government bristles whenever anything from Taiwan shown abroad is said to be from Taiwan, China.

That’s why the Government Information Office lodged a complaint with the organizers of the Venice Film Festival, who, under pressure from Beijing, listed Taiwan-produced films as entries from Taiwan, China. Among them was "Se Jie (Lust Caution)," directed by Ang Lee of "Brokeback Mountain" fame. It was originally described as a production from "USA and China" for it was shot in both countries. It was later changed to Taiwan at the request of its producer. That in turn drew complaints from China. Then the name was settled as "USA/China/Taiwan."

[…]

All this sounds like silly gags in a bad TV sitcom. Can’t we try just to forget whatever name other countries in the world choose to attach to our island nation?  [emphasis added]

Ironically enough, the Post‘s conclusion is contradicted by the very example it provides.  The Venetians didn’t "choose" to list Taiwan-produced films as originating from "Taiwan, China"; they were PRESSURED by Beijing into doing so – by the China Post‘s own admission.

Be that as it may, we’re still faced with the question:  Is this, as the Post claims, just a silly semantic quibble?  Isn’t the whole "Taiwan" vs. "Taiwan, China" vs. "Chinese Taipei" debate on par with arguments over tomayto-tomahto or Germany-Deutschland?  Shouldn’t Taiwan just get a life and ignore trivialities?

What’s amusing is that a paper that spilt so much ink complaining about the renaming of Chiang Kai-shek Memorial Hall would have the face to turn around on a dime and subsequently ask its readers, "What’s in a name?"  Let me guarantee you, the China Post wouldn’t be nearly so philosophical about that question if Tokyo started referring to Taiwan as JAPANESE-Taipei.  Nosiree – the China Post would be the first to regard THAT as an attempt to de-legitimize Taiwan.

No Czech newspaper would nonchalantly ask, "What’s in a name?" if Berlin started talking about "Sudetenland, GERMANY" once more.  Not if it didn’t want to appear treasonous, it wouldn’t.  And papers in the Baltics wouldn’t give little sermons about semantic freedom if Vladimir Putin had pressured other countries into referring to Lithuania as RUSSIAN Vilnius.

No, in both cases, the Czechs and Balts would be swift to recognize their own self-interest.  They’d instantly see those names as something sinister, as preludes to future attacks upon their national sovereignty.

Maybe now you can see why I was so impressed that the China Post printed both those editorials on the same page.  Because recognizing that the second piece calls upon Taiwan to surrender its sovereignty in one arena, the writers compensated by defending it in another.

Now, I may be one of the world’s worst chess players, but even I know that as a general rule, the key to success in that game is to protect your important pieces, while sacrificing your unimportant ones.  Yet, the China Post counsels the exact opposite.  The Post would have Taiwan defend the sovereignty of the Senkakus – risking war through "confrontation" with Japanese patrols ** – over a relatively insignificant group of islands 7 square kilometers in size, on which not a single Taiwanese lives, or ever HAS lived.  That, while ignoring Chinese threats to the sovereignty of Taiwan Island itself – an island 36,000 square kilometers in size and populated by 23 MILLION people.

There are only two possible conclusions here.***  Either those guys are even worse chess players than I am…or, this is a game they deliberately want Taiwan to lose.


* Yilan is a county on Taiwan’s north-east coast.

** A Taiwanese confrontation with Japan over the Senkakus risks war with not only Japan, but America herself:

The 1960 US-Japan Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security applies to territories under the administration of Japan, including the Senkaku Islands. In November 1996, Assistant Secretary of Defense Campbell stated that the basic position of the US is that the Japan-US security treaty would cover the Senkaku Islands. Secretary of Defense William Perry reconfirmed this fact on 03 December 1996.

A conflict is, perhaps, what the China Post hopes for.  Stir up Chinese nationalist sentiment in Taiwan and provoke a war with Japan and its ally, America.  Chinese nationalists then have their excuse to renounce America, and openly ally themselves with their communist brethren across the Strait.  From twhistory.org:

But the fight for sovereignty of the Diaoyutai [Senkakus], even to the extent of debating Taiwan’s international position and legitimacy, has been continuously examined and contended, with some people [in Taiwan] even advocating a United People’s Republic of China, or so-called Overseas Chinese, fighting together for the sovereignty of the Diaoyutai…  [emphasis added]

With the strategic goal of uniting Taiwan with the PRC accomplished at last, the victor in any war for the Senkakus’ would be largely besides the point.

*** Actually there is a third possibility.  While as a general rule the good chess player protects valuable pieces and sacrifices weak ones, he sometimes does the opposite in order to BAIT his opponent.  Parenthetical point #2 above represents an example of what this might look like.

The opponent in such a case would be none other than the Taiwanese people, who, if misled into taking the bait, would be lured away from a democratic ally and into the arms of authoritarian one.


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